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Francis Beach Surf Stats

All swells

(any wind direction)
Francis beach.surf.statistics.februaryW.animatedW.label.animated

Good Surf

(light / offshore wind)

This chart shows the range of swells directed at Francis Beach through an average February and is based upon 2664 NWW3 model predictions since 2007 (values every 3 hours). The wave model does not forecast wind and surf right at the coast so we have chosen the optimum grid node based on what we know about Francis Beach, and at Francis Beach the best grid node is 8 km away (5 miles). The rose diagram describes the distribution of swell sizes and swell direction, while the graph at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. These were forecast only 1.6% of the time. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red illustrates biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens. The diagram implies that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was W, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the NW. Because the wave model grid is out to sea, sometimes a strong offshore wind blows largest waves away from Francis Beach and offshore. We group these with the no surf category of the bar chart. To avoid confusion we don't show these in the rose plot. Because wind determines whether or not waves are surfable at Francis Beach, you can view an alternative image that shows only the swells that were predicted to coincide with glassy or offshore wind conditions. In a typical February, swells large enough to cause good for surfing waves at Francis Beach run for about 98% of the time.

  • Francis beach.surf.statistics.januaryW.animated
  • Francis beach.surf.statistics.februaryW.animated
  • Francis beach.surf.statistics.marchW.animated
  • Francis beach.surf.statistics.aprilW.animated
  • Francis beach.surf.statistics.mayW.animated
  • Francis beach.surf.statistics.juneW.animated
  • Francis beach.surf.statistics.julyW.animated
  • Francis beach.surf.statistics.augustW.animated
  • Francis beach.surf.statistics.septemberW.animated
  • Francis beach.surf.statistics.octoberW.animated
  • Francis beach.surf.statistics.novemberW.animated
  • Francis beach.surf.statistics.decemberW.animated

Also see Francis Beach wind stats

Compare Francis Beach with another surf break