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Macaronis Surf Stats

All swells

(any wind direction)
Macaronis.surf.statistics.decemberSw.animatedSw.label.animated

Good Surf

(light / offshore wind)

This image shows the variation of swells directed at Macaronis through an average December, based on 3448 NWW3 model predictions since 2006 (values every 3 hours). The wave model does not forecast wind or surf right at the shore so we have chosen the most applicable grid node based on what we know about Macaronis. In this particular case the best grid node is 24 km away (15 miles). The rose diagram shows the distribution of swell directions and swell sizes, while the graph at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. These happened only 0.2% of the time. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red represents biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell occurs. The diagram implies that the dominant swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was SW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the NW. Because the wave model grid is out to sea, sometimes a strong offshore wind blows largest waves away from Macaronis and offshore. We lump these in with the no surf category of the bar chart. To keep it simple we don't show these in the rose plot. Because wind determines whether or not waves are clean enough to surf at Macaronis, you can view an alternative image that shows only the swells that were predicted to coincide with glassy or offshore wind conditions. In a typical December, swells large enough to cause surfable waves at Macaronis run for about 100% of the time.

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  • Macaronis.surf.statistics.aprilSw.animated
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  • Macaronis.surf.statistics.juneSw.animated
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  • Macaronis.surf.statistics.octoberSw.animated
  • Macaronis.surf.statistics.novemberSw.animated
  • Macaronis.surf.statistics.decemberSw.animated

Also see Macaronis wind stats

Compare Macaronis with another surf break