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Mablethorpe Surf Stats

All swells

(any wind direction)
Mablethorpe.surf.statistics.novemberN.animatedN.label.animated

Good Surf

(light / offshore wind)

This picture shows the range of swells directed at Mablethorpe through an average November. It is based on 3347 NWW3 model predictions since 2006 (values every 3 hours). The wave model does not forecast wind and surf right at the coastline so we have chosen the most applicable grid node based on what we know about Mablethorpe, and at Mablethorpe the best grid node is 26 km away (16 miles). The rose diagram shows the distribution of swell directions and swell sizes, while the graph at the bottom shows the same thing without direction information. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. These happened only 59% of the time. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red represents the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell occurs. The diagram suggests that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was N, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the WSW. Because the wave model grid is away from the coast, sometimes a strong offshore wind blows largest waves away from Mablethorpe and out to sea. We lump these in with the no surf category of the bar chart. To simplify things we don't show these in the rose plot. Because wind determines whether or not waves are clean enough to surf at Mablethorpe, you can load a different image that shows only the swells that were expected to coincide with glassy or offshore wind conditions. In a typical November, swells large enough to cause surfable waves at Mablethorpe run for about 20% of the time.

  • Mablethorpe.surf.statistics.januaryN.animated
  • Mablethorpe.surf.statistics.februaryN.animated
  • Mablethorpe.surf.statistics.marchN.animated
  • Mablethorpe.surf.statistics.aprilN.animated
  • Mablethorpe.surf.statistics.mayN.animated
  • Mablethorpe.surf.statistics.juneN.animated
  • Mablethorpe.surf.statistics.julyN.animated
  • Mablethorpe.surf.statistics.augustN.animated
  • Mablethorpe.surf.statistics.septemberN.animated
  • Mablethorpe.surf.statistics.octoberN.animated
  • Mablethorpe.surf.statistics.novemberN.animated
  • Mablethorpe.surf.statistics.decemberN.animated

Also see Mablethorpe wind stats

Compare Mablethorpe with another surf break